India’s cement industry is poised for a notable 250 basis points rise in operating margins this fiscal, underpinned by stronger realisations and robust demand from both infrastructure and housing projects. Analysts point to higher sales volumes and an increased uptake of premium cement varieties as primary drivers, while stable input costs and easing energy prices are expected to bolster overall margins and strengthen producers’ balance sheets.
Industry observers report that domestic cement volumes are likely to grow 6–7 per cent this fiscal, a clear improvement over last year’s roughly 5 per cent rise. The recovery has been particularly visible in metropolitan regions and rapidly urbanising corridors, where ongoing residential construction and government-backed infrastructure initiatives are sustaining demand. A senior industry analyst noted, “The combination of premiumisation and steady volume growth is set to lift margins significantly this fiscal.”Pricing trends also support improved profitability. Pan-India cement bag prices are forecast to remain around ₹354–359 per 50-kg bag, reflecting healthy demand for higher-end products. Although the recent GST reduction from 28 per cent to 18 per cent may ease prices for end consumers, the premium product segment is expected to maintain its margin contribution. Analysts suggest that this balance between cost reduction and pricing power is critical for sustaining earnings growth across the sector.
Cost pressures remain manageable, with energy and freight — historically major expense items — trending downward. Australian thermal coal prices are expected to fall by 17–18 per cent, while crude oil prices could soften to $62–67 per barrel, easing power and fuel costs for producers. Raw material expenses such as limestone may see modest increases, but these are unlikely to offset the gains from stronger realisations.As a result, aggregate operating margins for the Indian cement industry could rise from around 16 per cent last fiscal to 18–20 per cent in FY26. Higher margins and cash flows may reduce companies’ reliance on external debt, enhancing overall financial health. Yet, risks such as delayed monsoons, volatile energy prices, or slower infrastructure spending could temper growth.
From a sustainable urban development perspective, the industry’s profitability provides an opportunity to invest in greener production technologies and energy-efficient operations. By aligning growth with low-carbon solutions, cement producers can contribute to inclusive, resilient, and eco-conscious urban infrastructure while benefiting from strong market fundamentals.
